Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.003661 0.003839 0.004022 0.004222 0.004437 0.004659 0.004909
2025-02-09 0.003305 0.003569 0.003850 0.004172 0.004533 0.004925 0.005386
2025-02-16 0.003104 0.003418 0.003762 0.004168 0.004636 0.005163 0.005805
2025-02-23 0.002940 0.003288 0.003676 0.004145 0.004700 0.005342 0.006148
2025-03-02 0.002844 0.003223 0.003654 0.004186 0.004831 0.005595 0.006581
2025-03-09 0.002720 0.003117 0.003576 0.004151 0.004862 0.005722 0.006861
2025-03-16 0.002611 0.003021 0.003501 0.004114 0.004883 0.005833 0.007119
2025-03-23 0.002498 0.002915 0.003409 0.004047 0.004862 0.005885 0.007297
2025-03-30 0.002399 0.002820 0.003326 0.003986 0.004842 0.005934 0.007470
2025-04-06 0.002341 0.002774 0.003299 0.003994 0.004908 0.006095 0.007798
2025-04-13 0.002217 0.002641 0.003160 0.003851 0.004770 0.005976 0.007733
2025-04-20 0.002173 0.002607 0.003142 0.003865 0.004838 0.006136 0.008063
2025-04-27 0.002167 0.002621 0.003189 0.003967 0.005030 0.006478 0.008678
2025-05-04 0.002098 0.002553 0.003127 0.003921 0.005020 0.006537 0.008884
2025-05-11 0.002051 0.002512 0.003097 0.003917 0.005066 0.006676 0.009216
2025-05-18 0.002000 0.002463 0.003057 0.003896 0.005086 0.006778 0.009493
2025-05-25 0.001975 0.002448 0.003060 0.003933 0.005190 0.007006 0.009980
2025-06-01 0.001925 0.002398 0.003014 0.003901 0.005191 0.007079 0.010222
2025-06-08 0.001877 0.002349 0.002968 0.003867 0.005187 0.007142 0.010451
2025-06-15 0.001822 0.002289 0.002905 0.003806 0.005141 0.007138 0.010566
2025-06-22 0.001771 0.002233 0.002847 0.003750 0.005099 0.007140 0.010689
2025-06-29 0.001745 0.002210 0.002833 0.003757 0.005153 0.007292 0.011078
2025-07-06 0.001672 0.002122 0.002726 0.003626 0.004990 0.007093 0.010842